Baseball over under


Welcome to baseballoverunder.com, the site that provides the baseball gambler with everything he needs to successfully handicap a game.

If you are looking to increase your profits during the baseball season, this site is a daily “must read”.

Whether you are looking for information on who the public is backing or an in depth analysis on a pitching match-up, this site will provide all of that information and more.

MLB News

2013 March Madness Bracket
2013-02-22

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Focus on powerful MLB betting system
2010-06-23

Despite squaring off against Tigers’ ace Justin Verlander on Tuesday, the Mets erupted for 14 runs on 16 hits. The damage wasn’t all done on Verlander though, as the Detroit bullpen yielded nine of the runs itself. Because of that latter fact, New York comes into Wednesday’s contest backed by a powerful FoxSheets Super Situation. The host Mets are favorites of just -115 according to Sportsbook.com, but that price could escalate if bettors get their hands on this system.

The angle in focus is based squarely upon the recent performance of the bullpens of both teams. It reads as follows:

Play Against - Road teams (DETROIT) - after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs against opponent with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games. (64-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.3%, +39.7 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -115.7

The average score in these games was: Team 5.2, Opponent 3.7 (Average run differential = +1.4)

The situation's record this season is: (3-0, +3.1 units).

Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (29-10, +17.5 units).

Since 1997 the situation's record is: (148-92, +25.6 units).

As you can see, this system is already 3-0 for 2010, producing 3.1 units of profit in just three games. Over the last five seasons, the return on investment had you wagered every qualifying game would have been an astronomical 46.7%. In these days of economic uncertainty, how many fund managers would kill for a return like that!

Wednesday’s starting pitcher matchup shows the Tigers going with Jeremy Bonderman vs. the Mets’ R.A. Dickey.

Dickey (5-0, 2.82 ERA), recalled from Triple-A Buffalo on May 19, has been a major surprise for New York, and he'll take the mound looking to become the first starter to win his first six decisions with the club.

The 35-year-old knuckleballer is also vying to become the first Met to win six starts in a row since Mike Pelfrey did it from June 16-July 13, 2008.

The Mets are second in the NL East, 1 1/2 games behind first-place Atlanta.

Dickey is 2-2 with a 4.69 ERA in 12 games - five starts - versus the Tigers. He lost his last appearance against them July 3, giving up four runs and nine hits in three innings of relief for Minnesota.

The Tigers have dropped nine of 12 on the road, and the staff has a 6.36 ERA in that stretch.

Bonderman (3-4, 4.06) is 1-2 with a 6.03 ERA in six road starts, but comes off a solid outing and will now try to win a second consecutive start for the first time since a personal eight-game winning streak from April 30-June 20, 2007.

Bonderman is 1-1 with a 7.36 ERA in two starts against the Mets

The StatFox Power Line shows the Mets should be a favorite of -131, perhaps indicating a slight under-pricing by Sportsbook.com. For those interested in the total, that number shows OV8.5 +105.

Starting time for Wednesday’s game is set for 7:10 PM ET.


MLB: Blue Jays hot but so is system they are facing
2010-05-06

The Toronto Blue Jays were thought to be a lock to be in the basement of the American League East, instead they are 16-13 (+5.6 units) and in third place, ahead of the Boston Red Sox at this juncture. On Thursday, they’ll be up against a powerful betting system, and of course, the Chicago White Sox.

The White Sox started the season with what many baseball experts thought was the best four starting pitchers in the junior circuit. Thus far only one of them has pitched up to capabilities and instead of being Central Division contender, the White Sox are 12-16 (-6) and a full seven games behind front-running Minnesota.

Toronto’s confounding start is because of arms, not necessarily bats in 2010. The Blue Jays are tied with Tampa Bay for the most quality starts at 18 in the AL and collectively the entire staff has been mowing down opposing batters with league-leading 230 strikeouts.

Tonight’s starter Dana Eveland (2-1, 4.77 ERA, 1.588 WHIP) is not a pitcher who blows batter’s away (13 K’s in 28.1 innings), however he doesn’t make the big mistake and has only given up one home run every 14 innings roughly this year.

Toronto’s team batting average in 12th at .238, however they are fifth in run scored thanks to leading the AL with 43 home runs, led by Vernon Wells at eight.

Every Chicago starter has an ERA over five except for John Danks (3-0, 1.85, 1.000), who has been the one pillar of strength on the South Side.

The left-hander has had to be sharp, with the Pale Hose ninth in runs score in the AL at 4.2 and last in hitting with pitiful .229 average. The Sox are below the Mendoza Line with runners in scoring position (.199), which is last in the majors.

Sportsbook.com views the pitching matchup as quite a disparity, with Chicago a -190 money line favorite. This series opener also falls into quite a winning system:

Play Against road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more, who have team batting average of .260 or less, against a good AL starting pitcher with ERA of 4.20 or less, with their hurler giving up one or fewer home runs every two starts.

Chicago already comes into this game feeling good after crushing Kansas City 9-2 last night and is 21-6 at home after scoring nine runs or more. Since 1997, today’s system is 86-19, 81.9 percent and has been particularly potent the last three years at a remarkable 21-2. Over the years this system also lends itself to run line potential, with the favorite winning by 2.2 runs per contest in the 105 games played.

It is true the Blue Jays have won four in a row, but they are going to lose eventually and tonight looks like it might be that time.