Baseball over under
Welcome to baseballoverunder.com, the site that provides the baseball gambler with everything he needs to successfully handicap a game.
If you are looking to increase your profits during the baseball season, this site is a daily “must read”.
Whether you are looking for information on who the public is backing or an in depth analysis on a pitching match-up, this site will provide all of that information and more.
Focus on powerful MLB betting system
Despite squaring off against Tigers’ ace Justin Verlander on Tuesday, the Mets erupted for 14 runs on 16 hits. The damage wasn’t all done on Verlander though, as the Detroit bullpen yielded nine of the runs itself. Because of that latter fact, New York comes into Wednesday’s contest backed by a powerful FoxSheets Super Situation. The host Mets are favorites of just -115 according to Sportsbook.com, but that price could escalate if bettors get their hands on this system.
The angle in focus is based squarely upon the recent performance of the bullpens of both teams. It reads as follows:
Play Against - Road teams (DETROIT) - after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs against opponent with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games. (64-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.3%, +39.7 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -115.7
The average score in these games was: Team 5.2, Opponent 3.7 (Average run differential = +1.4)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0, +3.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (29-10, +17.5 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (148-92, +25.6 units).
As you can see, this system is already 3-0 for 2010, producing 3.1 units of profit in just three games. Over the last five seasons, the return on investment had you wagered every qualifying game would have been an astronomical 46.7%. In these days of economic uncertainty, how many fund managers would kill for a return like that!
Wednesday’s starting pitcher matchup shows the Tigers going with Jeremy Bonderman vs. the Mets’ R.A. Dickey.
Dickey (5-0, 2.82 ERA), recalled from Triple-A Buffalo on May 19, has been a major surprise for New York, and he'll take the mound looking to become the first starter to win his first six decisions with the club.
The 35-year-old knuckleballer is also vying to become the first Met to win six starts in a row since Mike Pelfrey did it from June 16-July 13, 2008.
The Mets are second in the NL East, 1 1/2 games behind first-place Atlanta.
Dickey is 2-2 with a 4.69 ERA in 12 games - five starts - versus the Tigers. He lost his last appearance against them July 3, giving up four runs and nine hits in three innings of relief for Minnesota.
The Tigers have dropped nine of 12 on the road, and the staff has a 6.36 ERA in that stretch.
Bonderman (3-4, 4.06) is 1-2 with a 6.03 ERA in six road starts, but comes off a solid outing and will now try to win a second consecutive start for the first time since a personal eight-game winning streak from April 30-June 20, 2007.
Bonderman is 1-1 with a 7.36 ERA in two starts against the Mets
The StatFox Power Line shows the Mets should be a favorite of -131, perhaps indicating a slight under-pricing by Sportsbook.com. For those interested in the total, that number shows OV8.5 +105.
Starting time for Wednesday’s game is set for 7:10 PM ET.
Texas trying to buck the system in New York2009-08-26
There had been a great deal of speculation the Texas Rangers were perfectly positioned to steal a game from the New York Yankees in the opener on forums and chat sites catering to sports wagering talk on Tuesday. The belief was from underdog and value players, the Yankees would be flat after a big series win in Boston and Joba Chamberlain had not been very effective of late, making Texas a delicious choice at +185 on the money line. (Be sure to check the latest information on all the MLB games by visiting the LIVE ODDS, BETTING TRENDS, and TEAM STATISTICS pages.)
New York looked anything but flat taking a 4-0 lead in the bottom of the first inning. This Texas team is a little different from the past, not wilting under the heat and humidity the Lone Star State brings this time of year and they kept battling, earning a 10-5 lead and almost gave it away, with New York scoring four runs in the bottom of the ninth, to come up just short at 10-9.
High scoring games are nothing new at the new Yankees Stadium, where the average score totals 10.3 runs per game. The Rangers will attempt to win the series tonight on ESPN2 at 7:05 Eastern and possibly further close the gap in the AL West with Los Angeles with another victory.
Texas will have New York’s full attention, as the Yankees lost for just the 19th time in 60 games (best in baseball) in the Bronx this season. The Rangers will be in virtually the same exact position as last night, being +185 underdogs according to Sportsbook.com.
Texas is feeling spry after defeating the Yanks and will send 22-year-old left-hander Derek Holland (7-7, 4.72 ERA) to the mound. The rookie will face an intimidating New York lineup that punishes left-hand pitchers, sporting a 28-14 record and he’s been rocked for eight runs in 6 1/3 innings against the Bronx Bombers this season. Holland has found a groove in last three starts, with 3-0 record and 1.29 ERA; expect the Yankees to test him.
Andy Pettitte (10-6, 4.25) will take the ball for Joe Girardi’s club, seeking a third straight win. Pettitte and his teammates will go after a fifth consecutive triumph when he’s been the starter. Though the veteran left-hander did not have his best stuff last Friday against Boston in wild 20-11 win (seven runs allowed in five innings), prior to that he had 2.61 ERA in last five starts.
By all appearances Texas should have another shot as big underdog, until this sobering system is unveiled.
Play Against road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 after allowing nine runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more.
This system is a proven winner and consistent. Since 1997, the record is 184-48, 79.3 percent and over the last five years has been equally as steady with 64-17 (79 percent) mark. What makes this system work is teams involved in high scoring affairs and positioned as large underdogs typically don’t respond well in next contest and this is acknowledged with teams like Texas losing by 2.5 runs per game.
Can Texas win tonight, sure, is it a good idea to place a wager on them, after reading to this point, you decide.